
As Economic Growth Fails, How Do We Live?
Part II: Out With The Old
Image: Wikimedia Commons (PD)
by Craig Severance
December 22, 2011
There is a growing consensus the world economy is in a lot more trouble than politicians and media talking heads are letting on. The four major headwinds to growth were covered in Part I of these three articles, and there dubbed "The Four Horsemen of the Economic Apocalype":
1. Too Much Debt
2. Resource Limits
3. Destruction and Decay of Infrastructure
4. Greed
That article was a brief summary of the extreme challenges we now face. These next two articles are an attempt to move beyond this understanding of what has gone wrong, to develop a sense of what we can do now, as individuals and as a society.
We cannot "set things right" in the sense of restoring things to the way they once were, but we must begin now to adapt to the new realities if we are to reduce suffering and continue an advanced culture. Today's article, "Out With the Old", will discuss the end to seven unsustainable practices. In the next and final article in this series, "In With the New" will discuss new ways of living we can adopt as economic growth fails.
Out With The Old -- Seven Outcomes as Economic Growth Fails:
Before we allow our society to sink into a chaos of devastation and deprivation, there are many wasteful, or otherwise doomed, practices that will end. The "Out With the Old" list is not a proposed agenda for politicians to adopt. They are too committed to the existing order to voluntarily make these changes. Rather, the end of these practices will come (and much of this is already happening) as pragmatic realities sink in. They are unsustainable Dead Ends, so they will not be sustained:
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"Everyone's Oil Depletion Allowance" Makes Fuel Efficient Cars a Tax Free Profit Center
by Craig A. Severance
July 1, 2011
As a CPA, I was amazed the first time I encountered information on the Oil Depletion Allowance -- a special tax break for certain businesses with an interest in oil and gas operations. My amazement came because it is customary for Congress to grant tax write-offs when a taxpayer actually spends money on something real. However, the Oil Depletion Allowance is often a straight 15% deduction off Gross Revenues -- without the need to spend a single dime.
The rest of us would love to have such a "standard" tax write-off with no need to actually spend money, but they are very rare.
"Everyone's Oil Depletion Allowance". While not as generous as the tax breaks for the oil and gas industry, there is a "standard" tax write-off available to most businesses that, like the Oil Depletion Allowance, is not based upon the amount of money you actually spend. This "standard" write-off is the Standard Mileage Rate -- which on July 1, 2011 the IRS increased from 51 cents, to a new rate of 55 1/2 cents for every mile driven for business.
The Standard Mileage Rate is based upon IRS calculations of what -- on average -- it costs to own and run a vehicle. Burning fuel, i.e. depleting the oil based resource in your tank, is a big part of that cost, which is why my nickname for the Standard Mileage Rate is "Everyone's Oil Depletion Allowance".
Opportunity for Small Business Owners With Fuel Efficient Vehicles. The other reason this nickname fits is that a business can use the full amount of this tax write-off without actually spending that much money. The Standard Mileage Rate is based on miles driven -- not how much it actually costs to drive those miles.
Because it is an average rate, small businesses with fuel efficient vehicles can use this as a perfectly legitimate way to claim a business deduction that is more than they actually had to spend. They just need to make sure they are eligible to use the Standard Mileage Rate per IRS rules, and keep good mileage records.
When Do You Really Need the Big Truck? Many businesses -- including many who do not now think they could use a lighter vehicle -- can benefit from this strategy. How often is a heavy truck really needed? Are you really going to haul a backhoe around on a bidding sales call or a quick trip to the hardware store? If you really must have a heavy truck, limit its use to only the trips where it is really needed.
Opportunities for Employees. IRS currently limits the use of the Standard Mileage Rate essentially to small businesses, those with up to 4 vehicles in use, and does not permit its use for large fleets of vehicles such as those owned by big corporations. However, it is standard practice in many large and small corporations to reimburse employees (tax free) at the Standard Mileage Rate for using their own vehicles for the business.
The employee, therefore, can receive tax free income. If they are getting reimbursed 55 1/2 cents per mile for driving an efficient car on company business, they can get paid more than it costs them to drive that vehicle. This is a great way to be rewarded for driving a "Green" car.
I typically advise small corporation owners, who are employees, to use this "employee reimbursement" method for themselves as well rather than have their corporation own the vehicle. This is because Congress treats light-weight vehicles as "Luxury Automobiles" (go figure), with strict limits on write-offs that do not apply to heavy gas guzzler vehicles. The Standard Mileage Rate employee reimbursement for use of a personally-owned vehicle is often thus the only way for a small corporation owner to be patriotic and save on imported oil.
Substantial Tax Free Profits. Let's take a quick look at how well this can work, assuming a pretty typical business use of 18,000 business miles per year for an active business person. Reimbursed at the new 55 1/2 cents per mile Standard Mileage Rate, that's $9,990 per year of tax write-off if you are the business owner, or $9,990/year in reimbursement to you if you are the employee.
To drive a Toyota Prius 18,000 miles per year would only use about 360 gallons of gasoline. I know since I own one, and if you get less than 50 mpg you've got a "lead foot". At $4 per gallon that gasoline would only cost you $1,440 -- so you are still $8,550/year ahead of the game.
You still have to pay for the car. Let's say you expect the car to last 120,000 miles before it would be sold for an old Prius value of, say, $5,000. (Yeah, used fuel-efficient cars are worth more these days.) If you paid $25,000 for the car new, that's equivalent to burning through about 17 cents of the cost of the car for every mile you drive, or only about $3,000/year for the business miles portion driven each year. So you're still $5,550/year ahead of the game.
If you need to spend anywhere near $5,550/year to register, maintain, insure and repair a brand new car, there's something very wrong -- so it's clear that getting paid tax free 55 1/2 cents per mile to drive a Prius is a great deal. If you did this for five years and only cleared $2,000/year you would have tax free income of $10,000 over that period, for a nice down-payment on your next car.
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Not Arks or Fortresses, But Cities of Light
Image: Wikimedia Commons
by Craig Severance
December 24, 2010
Over the last several months a clear shift in focus can be seen in the energy and climate community. After political leaders refused to adopt broad measures to prevent the coming energy, economic and climate cataclysms, many of those who fought valiantly for public actions are now visibly turning toward preparations for catastrophe.
Whereas the talk of the day just six months ago centered hopefully around when the U.S. Senate would adopt an energy and climate bill, now more often than not we are reading predictions of the Collapse of our industrial society.
The forces now converging are so immense as to be overwhelming. There is an emerging sense it is already too late to avoid major disruptions to our way of life from Peak Oil production. Climate change seems to have reached a tipping point where the world climate is increasingly unstable. Added to these natural forces, the economic picture brings more bad news almost daily as debts mount with no hope of repayment.
With these type of forces in play, it is no wonder many feel it is more urgent now to learn how to grow one's own food, than to follow the latest statements from Congressional climate zombies.
Angst Over "Turning Inward". Though there is a palpable sense of impending change, there is still confusion about how or even if families should be warned to prepare.
Are we just being selfish if we try to save ourselves and our loved ones? Do efforts to build personal and local resilience even have a chance, if the society at large does not join in? Shouldn't we still be spending all our time pressuring Congress to pass national mandates?
Survival in Isolation Fruitless. Gail Tverberg, a long-time editor of The Oil Drum, notes in a recent interview at Transition Voice, “If I plant a garden and all my neighbors are starving, I’ll have to share it with them and it’s not going to go very far.” But imagine if, in the hours as the water started to rise before the heavy laden Ark took float, that Noah’s neighbors finally realized he was not crazy, but was in fact the only guy who was prepared to survive disaster. Frightened mobs could have stormed the Ark to try to get aboard, wielding rope ladders with grappling hooks. Rich people could’ve sent archers to force Noah to let down the gangplank. Warlords of a neighboring tribe could’ve rushed in a catapult. And even if none of them were able to board the ship, at least they could have put enough holes in the hull to ensure that the Ark would sink. For the doomed, sabotaging someone else’s escape plan can be a final desperate comfort. Curren's debunking of the notion we can set up little "Arks" may leave some feeling they can solve the security problem with a Survivalist style Fortress -- essentially a well-armed Ark. However, I doubt many will have enough "Guns, Gold and Guts" to survive the inevitable trip away from the Fortress to obtain supplies.

Preparation for major changes must always start with one's own family. However, the model of the Ark -- where Noah and his family survived and left the rest of the population to drown -- is flawed. In Noah's Ark No Kind of Escape Plan Transition Voice Editor Erik Curren deflates the "Ark" fantasy:
Light in Darkness Only Model That Can Work. Knowing the Ark and Fortress ideas won't work is invaluable, as this revelation strips away the illusion of a "safe and secure" future isolated from what happens to the rest of your community.
What is left will not be safe, but instead requires courage and generosity.
We are left with the only model that can work: be a Light in the Darkness.
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We Can Do That. I said in my recent Peak Oil article "The End of the World as We Know It" that we need to adapt to Peak Oil, but we can do that. This article explains how.
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